12/26/2007

从HINDRAF看巫统怖局

不知大家是否有曾察觉到,主流报章和新闻媒体对BERSIH以及HINDRAF所策划的街头集会示威几乎给予两种截然不同的报导方式。媒体对于前者的报导篇幅较小,除了不敢据实报导示威人数之外,新闻焦点也只是集中于当天示威所造成的交通严重阻塞。然而,媒体在报导HINDRAF主导的印裔示威事件上确给予了广泛性的报导。HINDRAF的新闻几乎天天上头条。原本事件可以上头条是件好事,因为这显示了公众对于我们印裔同胞所面对的生活窘境引起了关注。可惜的是,新闻媒体关注的不是印裔所面对的真正问题,而是以放大镜的手法报导‘种族清洗’(ethnic cleansing) 这足以挑起各族敏感神经线的课题。而印裔社会真正所面对的问题包括了教育机会(淡小缺乏拨款,基本设施简陋导致惨淡经营),工作机会(低工资),宗教自由(平均每3个星期就有一件在雪州的兴都神庙被拆),族群被边缘化等等。。。难道这些问题都不值得去关注吗?为什么媒体偏偏更喜欢报导难以被认同,也极具敏感性的‘种族清洗’ 课题呢?

我反对种族性政治,可是却不反对以种族角度看问题。因为在一个以种族政治挂帅的我国,往往也只有以种族角度看问题才可以看出一个端儿来。

简单来说,BERSIH-马来人;HINDRAF-印度人。

巫统的算盘是希望BERSIH集会事件尽量保持低调,让它只属于吉隆坡的课题而不是全国课题。而HINDRAF集会事件就最好有几‘劲’ 就抄到几‘劲’ 。因为据实报导主要由马来人主导和参与的BERSIH集会可能导致马来社会的分裂。让标榜著代表马来人的巫统失去其代表性。更严重的是让乡村马来人有机会接触到BERSIH的改革议程而提高政治醒觉。只要乡村马来人一开始关心政治,那么巫统的执政权将动摇。因为乡村马来人一向是巫统的票箱。所以巫统希望乡村的马来人最好永远呆在乡村当农夫不要关心政治。因为如果让乡村的马来人发现国家政府机构充满了贪污,滥权,司法乱像种种在回教教义看来属于不公正,不正义的现象的话,那么这将会彻底撕烂ISLAM HADHARI的假面具。再加上如果让他们发现在新经济政策下他们所获得的远比巫统朋党来得少的话,乡村的马来人肯定反。只要乡村的马来选票一转,巫统就完蛋!

相反的,HINDRAF事件正是巫统的一场及时雨。巫统正是利用了这场雨熄灭了BERSIH点燃了的火焰。连续两个星期的头版新闻完全掩盖了BERSIH光芒也成功转移了公众的视线。巫统更是通过炒作‘种族清洗’ 成功制造种族间的紧张关系。前阵子流传的手机短讯内容指巫青团长HISHAMMUDIN和副团长KHAIRI要在KAMPUNG BARU号召反华人,印度人的马来人集会更是把种族紧张关系推至顶点。当然最后事实证明根本没有这样的集会。无论如何,HISHAMMUDIN和KHAIRI还是应该拿个最佳男配角奖。除此之外,为了合理使用内安法令ISA,IGP总警长更是硬硬把HINDRAF跟恐怖分子联系在一起。都是拜911所赐,从此大马警察屡试不爽的把反政府的个人或团体都一一标签为恐怖分子,接下来的就是ISA 啦。其实也不能怪警方,找不到证据又要交差,就只好用ISA了。其实,通过制造种族紧张关系来凝聚马来社会的内部团结力量,一直都是巫统的老伎俩。如今的巫统可谓为了马来票,宁可放弃华人和印度票。只是从此马华、民政和国大党将在巫统面前更抬不起头来了。

说真的,论到驾驭媒体、操弄议题扭转局势,我真的很佩服“首相署四楼” 一行人。快不得PAK LAH去到哪里就睡到哪里。31个HINDRAF集会者原本被提控的谋杀控状也因为总检察署在首相的劝告下而被撤消。当每个人都说首相是何等的宽宏大量、有同情心,他老人家的觉怎么可能睡不甜?

12/02/2007

The Malaysian Miracle

August 31 marked the 50th anniversary of Malaysia’s Merdeka: independence after more than 400 years of colonialism. Malaysia’s peaceful, non-violent struggle may not have received the attention that Mahatma Gandhi’s did in India, but what Malaysia has accomplished since then is impressive – and has much to teach the world, both about economics, and about how to construct a vibrant multi-racial, multi-ethnic, multi-cultural society.

The numbers themselves say a lot. At independence, Malaysia was one of the poorest countries in the world. Though reliable data are hard to come by, its GDP (in purchasing power parity terms) was comparable to that of Haiti, Honduras, and Egypt, and some 5% below that of Ghana. Today, Malaysia’s income is 7.8 times that of Ghana, more than five times that of Honduras, and more than 2.5 times that of Egypt. In the global growth league tables, Malaysia is in the top tier, along with China, Taiwan, South Korea, and Thailand.

Moreover, the benefits of the growth have been shared. Hard-core poverty is set to be eliminated by 2010, with the overall poverty rate falling to 2.8%. Malaysia has succeeded in markedly reducing the income divides that separated various ethnic groups, not by bringing the top down, but by bringing the bottom up.

Part of the country’s success in reducing poverty reflects strong job creation. While unemployment is a problem in most of the world, Malaysia has been importing labor. In the 50 years since independence, 7.24 million jobs have been created, an increase of 261%, which would be equivalent to the creation of 105 million jobs in the United States.

There were many reasons not to have expected Malaysia to be a success. Just as Malaysia was gaining its independence, the Nobel Prize winning economist Gunnar Myrdal wrote an influential book called Asian Drama , in which he predicted a bleak future for the region.

Malaysia is rich in natural resources. But, with few exceptions, such countries are afflicted with the so-called “natural resource curse”: countries with an abundance of resources not only do not do as well as expected, but actually do worse than countries without such benefits. While natural resource wealth should make it easier to create a more equalitarian society, countries with more resources, on average, are marked by greater inequality.

Moreover, Malaysia’s multiracial, multi-cultural society made it more vulnerable to civil strife, which has occurred in many other resource-rich countries, as one group tried to seize the wealth for itself. In many cases, minorities work hard to garner the fruits of this wealth for themselves, at the expense of the majority – Bolivia, one of the many rich countries with poor people, comes to mind.

At independence, Malaysia also faced a Communist insurgency. The “hearts and minds” of those in the countryside had to be won, and that meant bringing economic benefits and minimizing “collateral” damage to innocent civilians – an important lesson for the Bush administration in Iraq, if it would only listen to someone outside its closed circle.

And Malaysia had a third strike against it: for all the talk of the “white man’s burden,” the European powers did little to improve living standards in the countries they ruled. The dramatic decline in India’s share of global GDP under Britain’s rule, as Britain passed trade laws designed to benefit its textile producers at the expense of those in its colony, is the most visible example.

The colonial powers’ divide-and-rule tactics enabled small populations in Europe to rule large numbers outside of Europe, pillaging natural resources while investing little in the physical, human capital, and social capital necessary for an economically successful, democratic self-governing society. It has taken many of the former colonies decades to overcome this legacy.

How, then, does an economist account for Malaysia’s success? Economically, Malaysia learned from its neighbors. Too many of the ex-colonies, rejecting their colonial heritage, turned to Russia and communism. Malaysia wisely took an alternative course, looking instead to the highly successful countries of East Asia. It invested in education and technology, pushed a high savings rate, enacted a strong and effective affirmative action program, and adopted sound macroeconomic policies.

Malaysia also recognized that success required an active role for government. It eschewed ideology, following or rejecting outsiders’ advice on a pragmatic basis. Most tellingly, during the financial crisis of 1997, it did not adopt IMF policies – and as a result had the shortest and shallowest downturn of any of the afflicted countries. When it re-emerged, it was not burdened with debt and bankrupt firms like so many of its neighbors.

This success was, of course, not only a matter of economics: had Malaysia followed the policies recommended by the IMF, it would have torn apart the social fabric created over the preceding four decades.

Malaysia’s success thus should be studied both by those looking for economic prosperity and those seeking to understand how our world can live together, not just with toleration, but also with respect, sharing their common humanity and working together to achieve common goals.


by Joseph E. Stiglitz
a Nobel laureate in economics, is Professor of Economics at Columbia University and was Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers to President Clinton and Chief Economist and Senior Vice President at the World Bank. His latest book is Making Globalization Work.


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